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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Fri 12 Sep 2025

19:45

Venue

Dalymount Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bohemians Win

48%

Bohemians

2.06

30%

Draw

3.38

22%

Derry City

4.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Bohemians xG

Total xG

2.08

0.78

Derry City xG

48%
30%
22%
BohemiansDrawDerry City

2.06

48%

Home win

3.38

30%

Draw

4.55

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.50

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

46%

Bohemians

2.19

27%

Derry City

3.68

Win to Nil

22%

Bohemians

4.51

6%

Derry City

16.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.4 9.7 3.8 1.0 0.2
1 16.2 12.7 5.0 1.3 0.3
2 10.6 8.3 3.2 0.8 0.2
3 4.6 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.303
λ Away (xG) 0.782
Total xG 2.085
League avg home goals 1.330
League avg away goals 0.991
Bohemians attack strength 1.060
Bohemians defence strength 0.819
Derry City attack strength 0.963
Derry City defence strength 0.924
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65