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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Tuesday 29 December 2026

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Eight matches clear our threshold on Tuesday 29 December 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Reading vs Peterborough at 73% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 58%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies three of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Reading
: 20:00
Peterborough
Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 64%
#2 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
: 19:45
Bolton
Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 62%
#3 Championship Β· England
Southampton
: 20:15
West Ham
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 61%
#4 League Two Β· England
Newport County
: 19:45
Shrewsbury
Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
BTTS No 55%
#5 League Two Β· England
Swindon Town
: 19:45
Exeter City
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 53%
#6 League One Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
: 19:45
Mansfield Town
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Championship Β· England
Birmingham
: 20:00
Cardiff
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
#8 League One Β· England
Plymouth
: 19:45
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 71%

Showing top 8 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Tuesday 29 December 2026?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Reading vs Peterborough at 73% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.