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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 6 September 2026

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Twelve fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 6 September 2026. Palestino vs Universidad de Concepcion sits top on 79% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the home win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primera División Β· Chile
Palestino
2 : 1 FT
Universidad de Concepcion
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
2 : 0 FT
KFUM Oslo
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Serie B Β· Italy
Virtus Entella
2 : 2 FT
Vicenza Virtus
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
1 : 0 FT
Vasco DA Gama
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Vancouver FC
3 : 2 FT
Supra du Quebec
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#6 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 : 1 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 58%
Draw 19%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 73%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
2 : 2 FT
Amed
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#8 Super League Β· China
Yunnan Yukun
5 : 0 FT
Shenyang Urban
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0 : 0 FT
Bukovyna
Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
1 : 0 FT
Raków Częstochowa
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
0 : 1 FT
Academico Viseu
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Atromitos
1 : 1 FT
Kalamata
Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 12 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 6 September 2026?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Palestino vs Universidad de Concepcion at 79% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.