Sign in Register
🏠

Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 30 August 2026

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Sunday 30 August 2026. Viking vs Aalesund led the list at 78% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the home win market — 82%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
2 : 1 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 13%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
4 : 0 FT
Malaga
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 2 FT
Rosenborg
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0 FT
Orgryte IS
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile
Colo Colo
5 : 1 FT
A. Italiano
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
5 : 2 FT
Ipswich
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
2 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Rapid Vienna
3 : 1 FT
Sturm Graz
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
3 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
1 : 1 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil
Gremio
3 : 1 FT
Chapecoense-sc
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%

Showing top 11 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 30 August 2026?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Viking vs Aalesund at 78% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.