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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 2 November 2025

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 2 November 2025. Gornik Zabrze vs Arka Gdynia sits top on 78% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 1 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the home win market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Gornik Zabrze
5 : 1 FT
Arka Gdynia
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 17%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 63% Gornik Zabrze Clean Sheet 60%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
3 : 0 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Lens Clean Sheet 59%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
3 : 0 FT
Sport Recife
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Flamengo Clean Sheet 58%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Bahia
2 : 1 FT
RB Bragantino
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
BTTS No 57%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
3 : 1 FT
Elche
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
0 : 2 FT
Metz
Win 69%
Draw 16%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 67%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
KFUM Oslo
1 : 4 FT
Haugesund
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#8 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Forge
0 : 1 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 59%
#9 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Gais
1 : 1 FT
Osters IF
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 54%
#10 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
1 : 0 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
#11 Premier League Β· England
Manchester City
3 : 1 FT
Bournemouth
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#12 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
2 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 18%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#13 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
1 : 2 FT
Uthai Thani
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#14 Primera División Β· Chile
Coquimbo Unido
2 : 0 FT
Union La Calera
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#15 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Jonoon
1 : 0 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
1 : 2 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Wolfsberger AC
0 : 0 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
6 : 0 FT
Grasshoppers
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 67%
#19 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Fredrikstad
3 : 1 FT
Kristiansund BK
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#20 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
0 : 2 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 2 November 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Gornik Zabrze vs Arka Gdynia at 78% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.