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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Friday 2 May 2025

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Friday 2 May 2025. The strongest reading belongs to FC Volendam vs Roda at 67% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 9, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the home win market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
3 : 2 FT
Roda
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
1 : 0 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
5 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
4 : 2 FT
Dender
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
4 : 1 FT
Al Kholood
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dunkerque
0 : 0 FT
Laval
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 1 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Premier League Β· England
Manchester City
1 : 0 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 9 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Friday 2 May 2025?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Volendam vs Roda at 67% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.