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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 2 March 2025

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Twelve matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 2 March 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Okhdood at 72% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 58%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the home win market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
1 : 1 FT
Al Okhdood
Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
3 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec
1 : 1 FT
Dukla Praha
Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 61% Slovan Liberec Clean Sheet 55%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
2 : 0 FT
Nantes
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 67%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
1 : 0 FT
GKS Katowice
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 65%
#6 Premier League Β· Russia
Spartak Moscow
2 : 0 FT
FC Orenburg
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 24%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 55%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
2 : 1 FT
Como
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
4 : 0 FT
Real Sociedad
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
3 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece
OFI
3 : 0 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#11 Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
1 : 2 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
3 : 3 FT
Valencia
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 12 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 2 March 2025?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Okhdood at 72% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.