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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 2 February 2025

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Sunday 2 February 2025. Buriram United vs Port FC led the list at 86% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the home win market — 58%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
0 : 1 FT
Port FC
Win 86%
Draw 10%
Win 4%
Over 2.5 77%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Göztepe
0 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
2 : 1 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
3 : 1 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
3 : 2 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
1 : 0 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 18%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 69%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hamburger SV
2 : 2 FT
Hannover 96
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
2 : 2 FT
Twente
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
3 : 1 FT
Farense
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
2 : 1 FT
Celta Vigo
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
0 : 1 FT
Bohemians 1905
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%

Showing top 12 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 2 February 2025?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Buriram United vs Port FC at 86% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.