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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 18 January 2025

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

18 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 18 January 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Club Brugge KV vs Beerschot VA at 86% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the home win market — 44%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
4 : 2 FT
Beerschot VA
βœ“ Win 86%
Draw 11%
Win 3%
✓ Over 2.5 77%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
2 : 1 FT
Groningen
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 70%
#3 League Two Β· England
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 0 FT
Tranmere
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
3 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
1 : 2 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gaziantep FK
0 : 0 FT
Bodrum FK
Win 66%
Draw 25%
Win 9%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Gaziantep FK Clean Sheet 60%
#7 Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
2 : 2 FT
Aston Villa
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
3 : 2 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
4 : 0 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
0 : 0 FT
FC Winterthur
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 57%
#11 League One Β· England
Bolton
2 : 2 FT
Cambridge United
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 League Two Β· England
Salford City
0 : 2 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dunkerque
0 : 1 FT
Lorient
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#14 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vitória SC
2 : 2 FT
Arouca
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#15 League Two Β· England
Walsall
4 : 2 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 19%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#16 La Liga Β· Spain
Girona
1 : 2 FT
Sevilla
Win 58%
Draw 19%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#17 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
2 : 0 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#18 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RAAL La Louvière
2 : 2 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%

Showing top 18 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 18 January 2025?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Club Brugge KV vs Beerschot VA at 86% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.