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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 24 August 2024

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists 18 fixtures on Saturday 24 August 2024. Ilves vs EIF led the list at 75% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the home win market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
5 : 0 FT
EIF
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Championship Β· England
Watford
2 : 1 FT
Derby
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
1 : 0 FT
Estrela
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#4 Premier League Β· England
Manchester City
4 : 1 FT
Ipswich
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 League Two Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
3 : 0 FT
Carlisle
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
6 : 0 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 18%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 67%
#7 Premier League Β· England
Crystal Palace
0 : 2 FT
West Ham
Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 68%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
2 : 0 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile
Universidad de Chile
4 : 0 FT
Cobreloa
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#10 League Two Β· England
Doncaster
1 : 0 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
2 : 0 FT
Rio Ave
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
1 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%
#13 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
2 : 2 FT
Slovácko
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#14 League Two Β· England
Newport County
3 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#15 Championship Β· England
Blackburn
2 : 1 FT
Oxford United
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#16 Serie B Β· Italy
Cremonese
1 : 0 FT
Carrarese
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
3 : 2 FT
Holstein Kiel
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#18 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
1 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 18 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 24 August 2024?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ilves vs EIF at 75% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.