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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Wednesday 31 August 2022

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Wednesday 31 August 2022. Slavia Praha vs Teplice led the list at 78% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 59%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 9, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the home win market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
6 : 0 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Manchester City
6 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
2 : 1 FT
Newcastle
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lyon
2 : 1 FT
Auxerre
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli
1 : 1 FT
Lecce
Win 66%
Draw 25%
Win 9%
BTTS No 54%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
2 : 1 FT
Aston Villa
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
7 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
1 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
2 : 0 FT
Spezia
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 28%
Win 13%

Showing top 9 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Wednesday 31 August 2022?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Slavia Praha vs Teplice at 78% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.