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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 28 August 2022

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Sunday 28 August 2022. Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen Ruby FC led the list at 86% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 59%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the home win market — 57%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
5 : 1 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
βœ“ Win 86%
Draw 9%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 88% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#2 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
2 : 1 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Lillestrom
1 : 1 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 64% Lillestrom Clean Sheet 57%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
4 : 1 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
0 : 1 FT
AS Eupen
Win 61%
Draw 18%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 70%
#6 Premier League Β· Russia
Lokomotiv
5 : 1 FT
FC Orenburg
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
0 : 1 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 7 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 28 August 2022?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen Ruby FC at 86% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.