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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 9 January 2022

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 9 January 2022. Inter vs Lazio led the list at 70% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the home win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
2 : 1 FT
Lazio
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
1 : 2 FT
Salernitana
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
2 : 0 FT
Pacos Ferreira
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kayserispor
1 : 0 FT
Altay
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
2 : 2 FT
Famalicao
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chonburi FC
1 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
2 : 1 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
2 : 2 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

Showing top 8 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 9 January 2022?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Inter vs Lazio at 70% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.