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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Championship Round - 6

Kick-off

Sun 11 May 2025

18:00

Venue

Stadio Toumbas

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PAOK Win

42%

PAOK

2.37

26%

Draw

3.81

32%

AEK Athens FC

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

PAOK xG

Total xG

2.58

1.18

AEK Athens FC xG

42%
26%
32%
PAOKDrawAEK Athens FC

2.37

42%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

31%

PAOK

3.25

24%

AEK Athens FC

4.08

Win to Nil

13%

PAOK

7.69

8%

AEK Athens FC

12.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 8.9 5.2 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 10.6 12.5 7.4 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 8.8 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.5 4.1 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.407
λ Away (xG) 1.178
Total xG 2.585
League avg home goals 1.269
League avg away goals 1.093
PAOK attack strength 1.340
PAOK defence strength 0.955
AEK Athens FC attack strength 1.129
AEK Athens FC defence strength 0.827
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52