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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Olympiakos Piraeus run riot with a 0-3 hammering of OFI.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Olympiakos Piraeus beat OFI 0-3 at Pankritio Stadium, Regular Season - 25, in the Super League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting OFI 0.97 xG and Olympiakos Piraeus 1.22 xG, a combined 2.19. The scoreboard read 0-3 for 3 actual goals. OFI fell 1.0 short of their projected output. Olympiakos Piraeus outscored their 1.22 projection by 1.8. Those figures were built on strength ratings of OFI attack 1.18 / defence 0.97 against Olympiakos Piraeus attack 1.13 / defence 0.61, drawn from 50/50 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it OFI 29% | Draw 30% | Olympiakos Piraeus 41%, with Olympiakos Piraeus to win its most likely call at 41%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 38%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 65% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 44% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (OFI 64%, Olympiakos Piraeus 43%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 46%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

OFI's trading profile (56 games, 28 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 34% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Olympiakos Piraeus's trading profile (56 games, 28 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 41% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 55% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Olympiakos Piraeus arrived the stronger side — 2.30 PPG against 1.20. That form edge translated into the three points. OFI (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.50 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.39 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Olympiakos Piraeus (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.57 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.

💡 Key Insights