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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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OFI cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Levadiakos.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

OFI beat Levadiakos 2-0 at Pankritio Stadium, Conference League Group - 2, in the Super League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting OFI 1.85 xG and Levadiakos 1.27 xG, a combined 3.12. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Levadiakos landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of OFI attack 1.12 / defence 1.12 against Levadiakos attack 1.07 / defence 1.26, drawn from 52/52 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it OFI 49% | Draw 26% | Levadiakos 25%, with OFI to win its most likely call at 49%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 60%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 83% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 62% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 60% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (OFI 63%, Levadiakos 58%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

OFI's trading profile (59 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not.

Levadiakos's trading profile (59 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — OFI 1.20 PPG, Levadiakos 1.54 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the OFI win broke the near-deadlock. OFI (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.45 average — tighter than their form line. Levadiakos (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.45 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.

💡 Key Insights