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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Kifisia cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over OFI.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Kifisia beat OFI 1-3 at Pankritio Stadium, Regular Season - 5, in the Super League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting OFI 1.60 xG and Kifisia 1.17 xG, a combined 2.77. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Kifisia outscored their 1.17 projection by 1.8. Those figures were built on strength ratings of OFI attack 1.00 / defence 1.13 against Kifisia attack 0.97 / defence 1.24, drawn from 29/4 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it OFI 47% | Draw 25% | Kifisia 28%, with OFI to win its most likely call at 47%. The actual Kifisia win had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 77% and landed. Over 3.5 was 30% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 55% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (OFI 50%, Kifisia 50%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

OFI's trading profile (4 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 25% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 50% of the time, and conceded here.

Kifisia's trading profile (4 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 75% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — OFI 1.00 PPG, Kifisia 1.00 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Kifisia win broke the near-deadlock. OFI shipped 3 against a 1.50 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Kifisia scored 3 against a 1.50 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights