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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Levadiakos run riot with a 5-2 hammering of Volos NFC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Levadiakos beat Volos NFC 5-2 at Levadia Stadium, Conference League Group - 3, in the Super League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Levadiakos 1.94 xG and Volos NFC 0.93 xG, a combined 2.88. The scoreboard read 5-2 for 7 actual goals. Levadiakos beat their projection by 3.1 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Volos NFC outscored their 0.93 projection by 1.1. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Levadiakos attack 1.27 / defence 1.07 against Volos NFC attack 0.82 / defence 1.17, drawn from 52/52 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Levadiakos 59% | Draw 25% | Volos NFC 16%, with Levadiakos to win its most likely call at 59%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 55%. The game delivered 7, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 80% and landed. Over 3.5 was 32% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 52% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Levadiakos 56%, Volos NFC 47%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 52%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Levadiakos's trading profile (64 games, 32 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did.

Volos NFC's trading profile (64 games, 32 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 47% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Levadiakos 1.45 PPG, Volos NFC 1.11 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Levadiakos win broke the near-deadlock. Levadiakos (home/away splits) scored 5 against a 1.81 average — above their attacking norm. Volos NFC (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.06 average — above their attacking norm and shipped 5 against a 1.62 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights