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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

18:00

Venue

AEL FC Arena

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Larisa Win

43%

Larisa

2.35

30%

Draw

3.29

27%

Asteras Tripolis

3.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

10.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Larisa xG

Total xG

2.23

0.96

Asteras Tripolis xG

43%
30%
27%
LarisaDrawAsteras Tripolis

2.35

43%

Home win

3.29

30%

Draw

3.70

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

38%

Larisa

2.60

28%

Asteras Tripolis

3.56

Win to Nil

16%

Larisa

6.12

8%

Asteras Tripolis

13.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.8 10.3 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 13.7 13.1 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.7 8.3 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.7 3.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.270
λ Away (xG) 0.957
Total xG 2.227
League avg home goals 1.335
League avg away goals 1.124
Larisa attack strength 0.765
Larisa defence strength 1.248
Asteras Tripolis attack strength 0.682
Asteras Tripolis defence strength 1.243
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 24 / 50