🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Levadiakos cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Lamia.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Levadiakos beat Lamia 0-2 at Dimotiko Athlitiko Kentro Lamias, Regular Season - 22, in the Super League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Lamia 0.76 xG and Levadiakos 1.21 xG, a combined 1.97. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Lamia attack 0.61 / defence 1.21 against Levadiakos attack 0.90 / defence 1.09, drawn from 47/21 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Lamia 23% | Draw 30% | Levadiakos 47%, with Levadiakos to win its most likely call at 47%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 32%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 59% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 37% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 38% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Lamia 33%, Levadiakos 43%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 45%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Lamia's trading profile (21 games, 10 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 33% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 62% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Levadiakos's trading profile (21 games, 10 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Levadiakos arrived the stronger side — 0.86 PPG against 0.43. That form edge translated into the three points. Levadiakos (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.20 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.50 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights