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Super League 1 · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 22 Aug 2026

15:00

Venue

Kalamata Metropolitan Stadium

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Aris Thessalonikis Win

33%

Kalamata

3.06

33%

Draw

3.04

34%

Aris Thessalonikis

2.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.9%

Away win

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Kalamata xG

Total xG

2.27

1.15

Aris Thessalonikis xG

33%
33%
34%
KalamataDrawAris Thessalonikis

3.06

33%

Home win

3.04

33%

Draw

2.91

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

32%

Kalamata

3.16

33%

Aris Thessalonikis

3.06

Win to Nil

10%

Kalamata

9.66

11%

Aris Thessalonikis

8.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 11.9 6.9 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 11.6 13.3 7.7 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 6.5 7.4 4.3 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 2.4 2.8 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.117
λ Away (xG) 1.151
Total xG 2.268
League avg home goals 1.356
League avg away goals 1.071
Kalamata attack strength 0.850
Kalamata defence strength 1.150
Aris Thessalonikis attack strength 0.934
Aris Thessalonikis defence strength 0.969
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 26