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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

18:30

Venue

Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PAOK Win

34%

Asteras Tripolis

2.96

26%

Draw

3.80

40%

PAOK

2.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Asteras Tripolis xG

Total xG

2.70

1.42

PAOK xG

34%
26%
40%
Asteras TripolisDrawPAOK

2.96

34%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

2.51

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

24%

Asteras Tripolis

4.12

28%

PAOK

3.61

Win to Nil

8%

Asteras Tripolis

12.21

11%

PAOK

9.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 9.5 6.7 3.2 1.1 0.3
1 8.6 12.2 8.7 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 5.5 7.8 5.6 2.6 0.9 0.3
3 2.4 3.4 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.285
λ Away (xG) 1.417
Total xG 2.702
League avg home goals 1.273
League avg away goals 1.120
Asteras Tripolis attack strength 1.056
Asteras Tripolis defence strength 1.138
PAOK attack strength 1.111
PAOK defence strength 0.955
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30