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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Relegation Group - 1

Kick-off

Sat 4 Apr 2026

16:00

Venue

Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Asteras Tripolis Win

37%

Asteras Tripolis

2.70

35%

Draw

2.85

28%

Larisa

3.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.7%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

Asteras Tripolis xG

Total xG

1.99

0.91

Larisa xG

37%
35%
28%
Asteras TripolisDrawLarisa

2.70

37%

Home win

2.85

35%

Draw

3.59

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.41

58%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

40%

Asteras Tripolis

2.47

34%

Larisa

2.94

Win to Nil

15%

Asteras Tripolis

6.69

9%

Larisa

10.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.7 12.4 5.6 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 14.8 13.4 6.1 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 8.0 7.3 3.3 1.0 0.2
3 2.9 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.080
λ Away (xG) 0.906
Total xG 1.986
League avg home goals 1.305
League avg away goals 1.063
Asteras Tripolis attack strength 0.828
Asteras Tripolis defence strength 1.181
Larisa attack strength 0.721
Larisa defence strength 0.999
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 26