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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

16:00

Venue

Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Asteras Tripolis Win

49%

Asteras Tripolis

2.06

29%

Draw

3.48

23%

Larisa

4.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Asteras Tripolis xG

Total xG

2.09

0.79

Larisa xG

49%
29%
23%
Asteras TripolisDrawLarisa

2.06

49%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

4.41

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.52

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

45%

Asteras Tripolis

2.20

27%

Larisa

3.66

Win to Nil

22%

Asteras Tripolis

4.53

6%

Larisa

16.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.4 9.8 3.9 1.0 0.2
1 16.1 12.7 5.0 1.3 0.3
2 10.5 8.2 3.3 0.9 0.2
3 4.5 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.298
λ Away (xG) 0.789
Total xG 2.087
League avg home goals 1.202
League avg away goals 1.040
Asteras Tripolis attack strength 0.991
Asteras Tripolis defence strength 1.009
Larisa attack strength 0.752
Larisa defence strength 1.090
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 28 / 2