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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Conference League Play-off Group - 1

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

17:30

Venue

Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Asteras Tripolis Win

41%

Asteras Tripolis

2.45

28%

Draw

3.63

32%

Aris Thessalonikis

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Asteras Tripolis xG

Total xG

2.39

1.10

Aris Thessalonikis xG

41%
28%
32%
Asteras TripolisDrawAris Thessalonikis

2.45

41%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

33%

Asteras Tripolis

3.00

27%

Aris Thessalonikis

3.64

Win to Nil

14%

Asteras Tripolis

7.35

9%

Aris Thessalonikis

11.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 10.0 5.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 11.8 13.0 7.1 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 7.6 8.4 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.3 3.6 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.293
λ Away (xG) 1.100
Total xG 2.393
League avg home goals 1.270
League avg away goals 1.094
Asteras Tripolis attack strength 0.866
Asteras Tripolis defence strength 1.049
Aris Thessalonikis attack strength 0.959
Aris Thessalonikis defence strength 1.176
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52