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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Mon 23 Dec 2024

13:00

Venue

Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Asteras Tripolis Win

47%

Asteras Tripolis

2.14

28%

Draw

3.59

25%

Aris Thessalonikis

3.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

9.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Asteras Tripolis xG

Total xG

2.37

0.96

Aris Thessalonikis xG

47%
28%
25%
Asteras TripolisDrawAris Thessalonikis

2.14

47%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

3.94

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

38%

Asteras Tripolis

2.62

24%

Aris Thessalonikis

4.09

Win to Nil

18%

Asteras Tripolis

5.61

6%

Aris Thessalonikis

16.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 9.0 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 13.1 12.7 6.1 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.2 8.9 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 4.3 4.2 2.0 0.6 0.2
4 1.5 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.408
λ Away (xG) 0.965
Total xG 2.373
League avg home goals 1.188
League avg away goals 1.157
Asteras Tripolis attack strength 0.974
Asteras Tripolis defence strength 0.901
Aris Thessalonikis attack strength 0.926
Aris Thessalonikis defence strength 1.217
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41