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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Conference League Play-off Group - 3

Kick-off

Sun 13 Apr 2025

17:30

Venue

Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Aris Thessalonikis Win

39%

Aris Thessalonikis

2.56

30%

Draw

3.33

31%

Atromitos

3.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

12.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Aris Thessalonikis xG

Total xG

2.08

0.96

Atromitos xG

39%
30%
31%
Aris ThessalonikisDrawAtromitos

2.56

39%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

3.24

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

38%

Aris Thessalonikis

2.61

33%

Atromitos

3.07

Win to Nil

15%

Aris Thessalonikis

6.68

10%

Atromitos

9.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5 12.0 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 14.0 13.4 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 7.8 7.5 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.9 2.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.121
λ Away (xG) 0.961
Total xG 2.082
League avg home goals 1.269
League avg away goals 1.093
Aris Thessalonikis attack strength 0.956
Aris Thessalonikis defence strength 0.760
Atromitos attack strength 1.157
Atromitos defence strength 0.924
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52