Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Conference League Play-off Group - 6

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

16:30

Venue

Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Aris Thessalonikis Win

47%

Aris Thessalonikis

2.14

29%

Draw

3.40

24%

Asteras Tripolis

4.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.1%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

12.9%

Draw

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Aris Thessalonikis xG

Total xG

2.05

0.80

Asteras Tripolis xG

47%
29%
24%
Aris ThessalonikisDrawAsteras Tripolis

2.14

47%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

4.19

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.54

61%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

45%

Aris Thessalonikis

2.23

29%

Asteras Tripolis

3.48

Win to Nil

21%

Aris Thessalonikis

4.76

7%

Asteras Tripolis

14.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.9 10.3 4.1 1.1 0.2
1 16.1 12.9 5.2 1.4 0.3
2 10.0 8.0 3.2 0.9 0.2
3 4.2 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.248
λ Away (xG) 0.801
Total xG 2.049
League avg home goals 1.269
League avg away goals 1.093
Aris Thessalonikis attack strength 0.962
Aris Thessalonikis defence strength 0.793
Asteras Tripolis attack strength 0.924
Asteras Tripolis defence strength 1.022
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52