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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Championship Round - 1

Kick-off

Sun 30 Mar 2025

17:00

Venue

OPAP Arena

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AEK Athens FC Win

49%

AEK Athens FC

2.05

26%

Draw

3.92

26%

PAOK

3.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

AEK Athens FC xG

Total xG

2.58

1.04

PAOK xG

49%
26%
26%
AEK Athens FCDrawPAOK

2.05

49%

Home win

3.92

26%

Draw

3.91

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

35%

AEK Athens FC

2.83

21%

PAOK

4.67

Win to Nil

17%

AEK Athens FC

5.79

5%

PAOK

18.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 7.9 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.7 12.1 6.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.3 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 4.6 4.8 2.5 0.9 0.2
4 1.8 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.541
λ Away (xG) 1.040
Total xG 2.581
League avg home goals 1.270
League avg away goals 1.094
AEK Athens FC attack strength 1.335
AEK Athens FC defence strength 0.703
PAOK attack strength 1.353
PAOK defence strength 0.909
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52