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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Championship Group - 6

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

17:30

Venue

Allwyn Arena

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AEK Athens FC Win

38%

AEK Athens FC

2.63

34%

Draw

2.92

28%

Olympiakos Piraeus

3.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

12.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

AEK Athens FC xG

Total xG

2.08

0.94

Olympiakos Piraeus xG

38%
34%
28%
AEK Athens FCDrawOlympiakos Piraeus

2.63

38%

Home win

2.92

34%

Draw

3.61

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

39%

AEK Athens FC

2.56

32%

Olympiakos Piraeus

3.13

Win to Nil

15%

AEK Athens FC

6.72

9%

Olympiakos Piraeus

11.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5 11.7 5.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 14.2 13.4 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.1 7.6 3.6 1.1 0.3
3 3.1 2.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.141
λ Away (xG) 0.940
Total xG 2.081
League avg home goals 1.305
League avg away goals 1.066
AEK Athens FC attack strength 1.315
AEK Athens FC defence strength 0.719
Olympiakos Piraeus attack strength 1.226
Olympiakos Piraeus defence strength 0.665
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52