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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Championship Round - 4

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

18:00

Venue

OPAP Arena

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AEK Athens FC Win

37%

AEK Athens FC

2.68

30%

Draw

3.38

33%

Olympiakos Piraeus

3.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

0 – 1

12.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

AEK Athens FC xG

Total xG

2.14

1.03

Olympiakos Piraeus xG

37%
30%
33%
AEK Athens FCDrawOlympiakos Piraeus

2.68

37%

Home win

3.38

30%

Draw

3.02

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.32

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

36%

AEK Athens FC

2.79

33%

Olympiakos Piraeus

3.03

Win to Nil

13%

AEK Athens FC

7.49

11%

Olympiakos Piraeus

9.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 12.1 6.2 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 13.1 13.5 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.3 7.5 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 2.7 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.110
λ Away (xG) 1.027
Total xG 2.137
League avg home goals 1.269
League avg away goals 1.093
AEK Athens FC attack strength 1.292
AEK Athens FC defence strength 0.744
Olympiakos Piraeus attack strength 1.263
Olympiakos Piraeus defence strength 0.677
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52