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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 23 Nov 2025

19:00

Venue

OPAP Arena

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AEK Athens FC Win

43%

AEK Athens FC

2.35

32%

Draw

3.17

26%

Aris Thessalonikis

3.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.5%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.8%

Draw

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

AEK Athens FC xG

Total xG

1.91

0.80

Aris Thessalonikis xG

43%
32%
26%
AEK Athens FCDrawAris Thessalonikis

2.35

43%

Home win

3.17

32%

Draw

3.86

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.70

63%

BTTS No

1.59

Clean Sheet

45%

AEK Athens FC

2.22

33%

Aris Thessalonikis

3.04

Win to Nil

19%

AEK Athens FC

5.22

9%

Aris Thessalonikis

11.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.8 11.8 4.7 1.3 0.3
1 16.5 13.1 5.2 1.4 0.3
2 9.1 7.3 2.9 0.8 0.2
3 3.4 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.111
λ Away (xG) 0.798
Total xG 1.909
League avg home goals 1.458
League avg away goals 1.231
AEK Athens FC attack strength 0.828
AEK Athens FC defence strength 0.729
Aris Thessalonikis attack strength 0.889
Aris Thessalonikis defence strength 0.920
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36