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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals — Tuesday 24 November 2026

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) — making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Tuesday 24 November 2026. Wolves vs Derby tops the list at 3.38 in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 3.38 down to 2.50, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Wolves
: 20:00
Derby
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
: 19:45
Southampton
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Championship · England
Norwich
: 19:45
QPR
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Serie B · Italy
Mantova
: 14:00
Arezzo
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Serie B · Italy
Juve Stabia
: 14:00
Catanzaro
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Serie B · Italy
Vicenza Virtus
: 14:00
Carrarese
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Championship · England
Middlesbrough
: 19:45
Swansea
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Championship · England
Cardiff
: 19:45
Preston
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Serie B · Italy
Cesena
: 14:00
Ascoli
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Championship · England
Portsmouth
: 19:45
West Ham
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Serie B · Italy
Virtus Entella
: 14:00
Hellas Verona
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 11 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest — common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Tuesday 24 November 2026?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Wolves vs Derby at 3.38 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.