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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Sunday 22 May 2022

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 22 May 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Landskrona BoIS vs IK brage at 3.95 in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 3.95 down to 2.89, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the goal fest market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
1 : 1 FT
IK brage
Win 30%
Draw 22%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Zurich
2 : 3 FT
FC Luzern
Win 57%
Draw 20%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2 : 3 FT
Khorfakkan
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
1 : 2 FT
Al Taee
Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
4 : 0 FT
Lausanne
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
#6 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon City FC
0 : 1 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 20%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HJK Helsinki
4 : 1 FT
Haka
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
1 : 1 FT
Viking
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Premier League Β· England
Manchester City
3 : 2 FT
Aston Villa
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Adana Demirspor
7 : 0 FT
Göztepe
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
2 : 1 FT
FC Lugano
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
3 : 2 FT
Valerenga
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Premier League Β· England
Norwich
0 : 5 FT
Tottenham
Win 9%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 74%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#14 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
3 : 1 FT
Baniyas SC
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#15 Premier League Β· England
Leicester
4 : 1 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Salernitana
0 : 4 FT
Udinese
Win 25%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy
Spezia
0 : 3 FT
Napoli
Win 20%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
0 : 3 FT
AC Milan
Win 23%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Serie A Β· Italy
Venezia
0 : 0 FT
Cagliari
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#20 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
0 : 2 FT
Villarreal
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Sunday 22 May 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Landskrona BoIS vs IK brage at 3.95 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.