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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Thursday 24 June 2021

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

13 matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 24 June 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Rosenborg vs Viking at 4.43 in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 4.43 down to 2.59, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eliteserien supplies nine of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, one landed the goal fest market — 17%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
– : – CANC
Viking
Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 71%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
0 : 2 FT
Molde
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 70%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
– : – CANC
Stabaek
Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
– : – CANC
Lillestrom
Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stabaek
0 : 2 FT
Valerenga
Win 30%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 45%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
4 : 0 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
1 : 0 FT
Brann
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 58%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
– : – CANC
Sandefjord
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
– : – CANC
ODD Ballklubb
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HJK Helsinki
2 : 0 FT
Kooteepee
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
AC Oulu
0 : 2 FT
KuPS
Win 12%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 68%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
– : – CANC
Kristiansund BK
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
BTTS Yes 53%
#13 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
– : – CANC
Tromso
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 13 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Thursday 24 June 2021?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Rosenborg vs Viking at 4.43 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.