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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Sunday 8 November 2020

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists ten fixtures on Sunday 8 November 2020. Bodo/Glimt vs Aalesund led the list at 4.39 in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 4.39 down to 2.52, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the goal fest market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
7 : 0 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 86%
Draw 9%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
2 : 0 FT
ODD Ballklubb
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Orebro SK
0 : 1 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 3 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
5 : 2 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
3 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
2 : 2 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
0 : 0 FT
Stabaek
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
4 : 0 FT
Sirius
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
#10 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
0 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 10 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Sunday 8 November 2020?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Bodo/Glimt vs Aalesund at 4.39 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.