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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Fri 24 Oct 2025

19:30

Venue

Weserstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Werder Bremen Win

40%

Werder Bremen

2.50

25%

Draw

4.06

35%

Union Berlin

2.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

8.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Werder Bremen xG

Total xG

3.25

1.57

Union Berlin xG

40%
25%
35%
Werder BremenDrawUnion Berlin

2.50

40%

Home win

4.06

25%

Draw

2.82

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.53

35%

BTTS No

2.87

Clean Sheet

21%

Werder Bremen

4.82

19%

Union Berlin

5.37

Win to Nil

8%

Werder Bremen

12.06

7%

Union Berlin

15.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 6.1 4.8 2.5 1.0 0.3
1 6.5 10.2 8.0 4.2 1.7 0.5
2 5.5 8.6 6.7 3.5 1.4 0.4
3 3.1 4.8 3.8 2.0 0.8 0.2
4 1.3 2.0 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.680
λ Away (xG) 1.573
Total xG 3.253
League avg home goals 1.592
League avg away goals 1.564
Werder Bremen attack strength 0.885
Werder Bremen defence strength 1.050
Union Berlin attack strength 0.957
Union Berlin defence strength 1.192
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41