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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

14:30

Venue

Weserstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Werder Bremen Win

36%

Werder Bremen

2.79

34%

Draw

2.98

31%

Union Berlin

3.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Werder Bremen xG

Total xG

2.47

1.18

Union Berlin xG

36%
34%
31%
Werder BremenDrawUnion Berlin

2.79

36%

Home win

2.98

34%

Draw

3.27

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

31%

Werder Bremen

3.26

27%

Union Berlin

3.64

Win to Nil

11%

Werder Bremen

9.11

8%

Union Berlin

11.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 10.0 5.9 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.9 12.9 7.6 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.0 8.3 4.9 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 3.0 3.6 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.291
λ Away (xG) 1.182
Total xG 2.473
League avg home goals 1.671
League avg away goals 1.487
Werder Bremen attack strength 0.875
Werder Bremen defence strength 1.095
Union Berlin attack strength 0.726
Union Berlin defence strength 0.883
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48