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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

14:30

Venue

Weserstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Werder Bremen Win

52%

Werder Bremen

1.92

21%

Draw

4.73

27%

SC Freiburg

3.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.7%

Draw

2 – 2

6.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.10

Werder Bremen xG

Total xG

3.57

1.47

SC Freiburg xG

52%
21%
27%
Werder BremenDrawSC Freiburg

1.92

52%

Home win

4.73

21%

Draw

3.72

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.48

32%

BTTS No

3.08

Clean Sheet

23%

Werder Bremen

4.35

12%

SC Freiburg

8.13

Win to Nil

12%

Werder Bremen

8.37

3%

SC Freiburg

30.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 4.2 3.1 1.5 0.6 0.2
1 5.9 8.7 6.4 3.1 1.2 0.3
2 6.2 9.1 6.7 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 4.3 6.4 4.7 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 2.3 3.3 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.095
λ Away (xG) 1.470
Total xG 3.565
League avg home goals 1.726
League avg away goals 1.556
Werder Bremen attack strength 1.041
Werder Bremen defence strength 1.072
SC Freiburg attack strength 0.882
SC Freiburg defence strength 1.166
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37