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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 15 Mar 2026

14:30

Venue

Weserstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Werder Bremen Win

36%

Werder Bremen

2.76

28%

Draw

3.62

36%

FSV Mainz 05

2.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Werder Bremen xG

Total xG

2.76

1.38

FSV Mainz 05 xG

36%
28%
36%
Werder BremenDrawFSV Mainz 05

2.76

36%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

2.77

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

25%

Werder Bremen

3.97

25%

FSV Mainz 05

3.98

Win to Nil

9%

Werder Bremen

10.94

9%

FSV Mainz 05

11.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 8.7 6.0 2.8 1.0 0.3
1 8.7 12.1 8.3 3.8 1.3 0.4
2 6.0 8.3 5.7 2.6 0.9 0.3
3 2.8 3.8 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.382
λ Away (xG) 1.378
Total xG 2.760
League avg home goals 1.672
League avg away goals 1.369
Werder Bremen attack strength 0.764
Werder Bremen defence strength 1.114
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.904
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 1.082
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59