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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Fri 31 Jan 2025

19:30

Venue

Weserstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FSV Mainz 05 Win

28%

Werder Bremen

3.58

22%

Draw

4.58

50%

FSV Mainz 05

1.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

2 – 1

6.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Werder Bremen xG

Total xG

3.46

2.00

FSV Mainz 05 xG

28%
22%
50%
Werder BremenDrawFSV Mainz 05

3.58

28%

Home win

4.58

22%

Draw

1.99

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.97

Clean Sheet

14%

Werder Bremen

7.40

23%

FSV Mainz 05

4.28

Win to Nil

4%

Werder Bremen

26.48

12%

FSV Mainz 05

8.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 6.3 6.3 4.2 2.1 0.8
1 4.6 9.2 9.2 6.1 3.1 1.2
2 3.3 6.7 6.7 4.5 2.2 0.9
3 1.6 3.2 3.2 2.2 1.1 0.4
4 0.6 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.454
λ Away (xG) 2.001
Total xG 3.455
League avg home goals 1.821
League avg away goals 1.423
Werder Bremen attack strength 0.924
Werder Bremen defence strength 1.246
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 1.129
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 0.865
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53