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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

14:30

Venue

Weserstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC St. Pauli Win

30%

Werder Bremen

3.30

25%

Draw

4.08

45%

FC St. Pauli

2.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Werder Bremen xG

Total xG

2.89

1.61

FC St. Pauli xG

30%
25%
45%
Werder BremenDrawFC St. Pauli

3.30

30%

Home win

4.08

25%

Draw

2.21

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

20%

Werder Bremen

5.02

28%

FC St. Pauli

3.60

Win to Nil

6%

Werder Bremen

16.57

13%

FC St. Pauli

7.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 8.9 7.2 3.9 1.6 0.5
1 7.1 11.4 9.2 5.0 2.0 0.6
2 4.5 7.3 5.9 3.2 1.3 0.4
3 1.9 3.1 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.280
λ Away (xG) 1.614
Total xG 2.894
League avg home goals 1.600
League avg away goals 1.642
Werder Bremen attack strength 0.899
Werder Bremen defence strength 1.170
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.840
FC St. Pauli defence strength 0.890
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39