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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

14:30

Venue

Volkswagen Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfL Wolfsburg Win

44%

VfL Wolfsburg

2.29

24%

Draw

4.11

32%

SC Freiburg

3.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

1 – 2

7.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

VfL Wolfsburg xG

Total xG

3.23

1.48

SC Freiburg xG

44%
24%
32%
VfL WolfsburgDrawSC Freiburg

2.29

44%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

3.12

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.55

36%

BTTS No

2.81

Clean Sheet

23%

VfL Wolfsburg

4.38

17%

SC Freiburg

5.76

Win to Nil

10%

VfL Wolfsburg

10.04

6%

SC Freiburg

17.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 5.9 4.3 2.1 0.8 0.2
1 6.9 10.3 7.6 3.7 1.4 0.4
2 6.1 9.0 6.6 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 3.5 5.2 3.9 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.6 2.3 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.751
λ Away (xG) 1.477
Total xG 3.228
League avg home goals 1.705
League avg away goals 1.421
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 0.923
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 1.270
SC Freiburg attack strength 0.818
SC Freiburg defence strength 1.112
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48