Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 7 Mar 2026

14:30

Venue

Volkswagen Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfL Wolfsburg Win

44%

VfL Wolfsburg

2.25

25%

Draw

4.07

31%

Hamburger SV

3.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

VfL Wolfsburg xG

Total xG

3.00

1.34

Hamburger SV xG

44%
25%
31%
VfL WolfsburgDrawHamburger SV

2.25

44%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

3.23

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

26%

VfL Wolfsburg

3.83

19%

Hamburger SV

5.22

Win to Nil

12%

VfL Wolfsburg

8.62

6%

Hamburger SV

16.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 6.7 4.5 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 8.3 11.1 7.5 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.8 9.2 6.2 2.8 0.9 0.2
3 3.8 5.0 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.652
λ Away (xG) 1.344
Total xG 2.996
League avg home goals 1.707
League avg away goals 1.356
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 0.976
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 1.393
Hamburger SV attack strength 0.711
Hamburger SV defence strength 0.991
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 24