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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sun 31 Aug 2025

14:30

Venue

Volkswagen Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FSV Mainz 05 Win

35%

VfL Wolfsburg

2.88

24%

Draw

4.11

41%

FSV Mainz 05

2.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

2 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

VfL Wolfsburg xG

Total xG

3.10

1.62

FSV Mainz 05 xG

35%
24%
41%
VfL WolfsburgDrawFSV Mainz 05

2.88

35%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

2.44

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.64

Clean Sheet

20%

VfL Wolfsburg

5.05

23%

FSV Mainz 05

4.38

Win to Nil

7%

VfL Wolfsburg

14.55

9%

FSV Mainz 05

10.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 7.3 5.9 3.2 1.3 0.4
1 6.7 10.8 8.8 4.7 1.9 0.6
2 4.9 8.0 6.5 3.5 1.4 0.5
3 2.4 3.9 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.5 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.478
λ Away (xG) 1.620
Total xG 3.098
League avg home goals 1.543
League avg away goals 1.574
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 0.964
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 1.015
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 1.014
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 0.993
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 35 / 35