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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Wed 14 Jan 2026

17:30

Venue

Volkswagen Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfL Wolfsburg Win

40%

VfL Wolfsburg

2.53

28%

Draw

3.60

33%

FC St. Pauli

3.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

VfL Wolfsburg xG

Total xG

2.90

1.37

FC St. Pauli xG

40%
28%
33%
VfL WolfsburgDrawFC St. Pauli

2.53

40%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

3.06

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

25%

VfL Wolfsburg

3.95

22%

FC St. Pauli

4.60

Win to Nil

10%

VfL Wolfsburg

10.00

7%

FC St. Pauli

14.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 7.6 5.2 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 8.4 11.5 7.9 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.4 8.8 6.0 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 3.3 4.5 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.2 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.527
λ Away (xG) 1.374
Total xG 2.901
League avg home goals 1.738
League avg away goals 1.458
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 1.034
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 1.374
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.686
FC St. Pauli defence strength 0.850
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 49