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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

14:30

Venue

Volkswagen Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfL Wolfsburg Win

50%

VfL Wolfsburg

2.00

28%

Draw

3.60

22%

FC St. Pauli

4.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

VfL Wolfsburg xG

Total xG

2.55

0.97

FC St. Pauli xG

50%
28%
22%
VfL WolfsburgDrawFC St. Pauli

2.00

50%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

4.52

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

38%

VfL Wolfsburg

2.65

21%

FC St. Pauli

4.82

Win to Nil

19%

VfL Wolfsburg

5.29

5%

FC St. Pauli

21.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 7.6 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 12.3 12.0 5.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.7 9.4 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.1 4.9 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 2.0 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.573
λ Away (xG) 0.973
Total xG 2.546
League avg home goals 1.602
League avg away goals 1.386
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 1.031
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 1.058
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.664
FC St. Pauli defence strength 0.952
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 24