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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 22 Dec 2024

16:30

Venue

Volkswagen Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfL Wolfsburg Win

49%

VfL Wolfsburg

2.04

25%

Draw

4.00

26%

Borussia Dortmund

3.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

2 – 2

6.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.04

VfL Wolfsburg xG

Total xG

3.50

1.47

Borussia Dortmund xG

49%
25%
26%
VfL WolfsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund

2.04

49%

Home win

4.00

25%

Draw

3.85

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.45

31%

BTTS No

3.20

Clean Sheet

23%

VfL Wolfsburg

4.34

13%

Borussia Dortmund

7.67

Win to Nil

11%

VfL Wolfsburg

8.85

3%

Borussia Dortmund

29.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 4.4 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.2
1 6.1 9.0 6.6 3.2 1.2 0.3
2 6.2 9.2 6.7 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 4.2 6.2 4.6 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 2.2 3.2 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.037
λ Away (xG) 1.468
Total xG 3.505
League avg home goals 1.729
League avg away goals 1.473
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 1.069
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 1.169
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 0.852
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 1.102
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48