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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

14:30

Venue

Vonovia Ruhrstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union Berlin Win

29%

VfL Bochum

3.44

26%

Draw

3.80

45%

Union Berlin

2.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

VfL Bochum xG

Total xG

2.67

1.50

Union Berlin xG

29%
26%
45%
VfL BochumDrawUnion Berlin

3.44

29%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

2.24

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

22%

VfL Bochum

4.49

31%

Union Berlin

3.20

Win to Nil

6%

VfL Bochum

15.45

14%

Union Berlin

7.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 10.4 7.8 3.9 1.5 0.4
1 8.1 12.2 9.1 4.6 1.7 0.5
2 4.7 7.1 5.3 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 1.8 2.7 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.164
λ Away (xG) 1.502
Total xG 2.666
League avg home goals 1.520
League avg away goals 1.432
VfL Bochum attack strength 0.737
VfL Bochum defence strength 1.233
Union Berlin attack strength 0.851
Union Berlin defence strength 1.040
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64