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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

14:30

Venue

Vonovia Ruhrstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FSV Mainz 05 Win

27%

VfL Bochum

3.76

28%

Draw

3.63

46%

FSV Mainz 05

2.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

VfL Bochum xG

Total xG

2.66

1.54

FSV Mainz 05 xG

27%
28%
46%
VfL BochumDrawFSV Mainz 05

3.76

27%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

2.18

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

21%

VfL Bochum

4.67

33%

FSV Mainz 05

3.07

Win to Nil

6%

VfL Bochum

17.55

15%

FSV Mainz 05

6.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 10.7 8.3 4.3 1.6 0.5
1 7.8 12.1 9.3 4.8 1.8 0.6
2 4.4 6.8 5.2 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 1.6 2.5 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.122
λ Away (xG) 1.541
Total xG 2.663
League avg home goals 1.545
League avg away goals 1.448
VfL Bochum attack strength 0.733
VfL Bochum defence strength 1.179
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.903
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 0.991
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66